ES plan for October 1, 2026
Biasbearish
Bias reasoning
Bearish tilt , under the 7,734.75 Pivot a rejection short is in play, but the failed-breakdown long is still the A+ setup on any reclaim. Manage level-to-level.
Pivot7,734.75
Value Zone7,716.75 to 7,752.75
Support levels
Support 17,793.25
Support 27,758.25
Support 37,737.75
Support 47,719.5
Support 57,709.25
Support 67,685.5
Support 77,675
Support 87,650
Support 97,625
Support 107,600
Support 117,575
Resistance levels
Resistance 17,825
Resistance 27,814.75
Resistance 37,800.75
Resistance 47,782
Resistance 57,770.75
Resistance 67,756.5
Resistance 77,748.5
Resistance 87,732.25
Resistance 97,722.75
Resistance 107,699
Prior high7,782
Prior low7,709.25
Prior close7,713
Overnight high7,771.25
Overnight low7,719.5
Prior week high7,848.5
Prior week low7,725.25
Recent high7,848.5
Recent low7,575
Value area reference7,768
Value area high7,778.5
Value area low7,752.25
Top long setup
Failed-breakdown longs (best first):
🥇 7,719.5 (major shelf ★): flush + reclaim → long toward 7,734.75, then 7,748.5
🥈 7,709.25 (major shelf ★): deeper backup if the first fails
🥉 7,685.5 (major shelf ★): deeper, take it if it reaches
Entry rule: wait for acceptance , price holds back above the level, or reclaims by ~5 pts and holds a couple minutes (don't knife-catch). Then manage level-to-level and leave a runner.
Top short setup
Rejection shorts (secondary, lower win-rate , best first):
🥇 7,748.5 (major shelf ★): reject + fail to hold → short toward 7,734.75
🥈 7,756.5 (detected shelf): next resistance up
🥉 7,770.75 (detected shelf): higher, take it if it reaches
Continuation: breakdown of 7,719.5 that holds below → 7,709.25. Wait for acceptance the same way; size down , most breakdowns trap.
Stored session result
First target7,748.5: Not reached
Failed-breakdown setup7,719.5: Reclaimed
NQ plan for October 1, 2026
Biasbullish
Bias reasoning
Bullish / momentum , price broke out and is consolidating up here. Be patient: the edge is a failed-breakdown long, best into the A+ shelf at 30,684; ride a runner, manage level-to-level, and don't force trades if price just grinds. Below 30,512.25 the long is off.
Pivot30,760.25
Value Zone30,658 to 30,862.5
Support levels
Support 130,838
Support 230,731.25
Support 330,684
Support 430,600
Support 530,545.5
Support 630,512.25
Support 730,400
Support 830,356.75
Support 930,300
Support 1030,202.25
Support 1129,659.25
Support 1229,395.75
Support 1329,118
Support 1429,053
Resistance levels
Resistance 131,600
Resistance 231,500
Resistance 331,400
Resistance 431,300
Resistance 531,200
Resistance 631,100
Resistance 731,013
Resistance 830,926.5
Resistance 930,864.75
Resistance 1030,800
Resistance 1130,759.25
Resistance 1230,722
Resistance 1330,612.25
Resistance 1429,858.75
Resistance 1529,792.25
Resistance 1629,716
Resistance 1729,549.75
Prior high30,906
Prior low30,680.75
Prior close30,693.75
Overnight high30,779.5
Overnight low30,512.25
Prior week high31,065.5
Prior week low30,216.5
Recent high31,065.5
Recent low29,053
Value area reference30,827.5
Value area high30,873.5
Value area low30,787.25
Top long setup
Momentum/breakout , be patient (a "wait for it to come to you" day).
🥇 ⭐ 30,684 (A+) → flush + reclaim, long the failed breakdown
🥈 30,545.5 (detected shelf)
🥉 30,512.25 (major shelf ★) , deeper backup
Targets: 30,864.75, 31,013, 31,300
Shallow dips are chases , no trade unless price flushes a level and reclaims.
Invalidation: below 30,512.25 the long is off , breakdown-short territory (size down, most breakdowns trap).
Top short setup
Rejection shorts , NOT the edge in a momentum uptrend (the plan is to pass), but listed for those who want them:
🥇 30,800 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥈 30,864.75 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥉 31,013 → reject + fail, small scalp
Scalps only, size down , never a reversal.
Stored session result
First target30,800: Reached
Failed-breakdown setup30,512.25: Not reclaimed
Educational content only, not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.