ES plan for October 12, 2026
Biasbullish
Bias reasoning
Bullish / momentum , price broke out and is consolidating up here. Be patient: the edge is a failed-breakdown long, best into the A+ shelf at 7,826.75; ride a runner, manage level-to-level, and don't force trades if price just grinds. Below 7,802.75 the long is off.
Pivot7,852.75
Value Zone7,837 to 7,868.5
Support levels
Support 17,854
Support 27,826.75
Support 37,815.75
Support 47,802.75
Support 57,783
Support 67,758.25
Support 77,737
Support 87,719.5
Support 97,684
Support 107,672.75
Support 117,575
Resistance levels
Resistance 18,100
Resistance 28,075
Resistance 38,050
Resistance 48,025
Resistance 58,000
Resistance 67,975
Resistance 77,950
Resistance 87,925
Resistance 97,897.5
Resistance 107,888
Resistance 117,877
Resistance 127,861.25
Resistance 137,850
Resistance 147,837.25
Resistance 157,782
Resistance 167,748.75
Resistance 177,732.25
Resistance 187,722.75
Resistance 197,699
Prior high7,870.5
Prior low7,826.75
Prior close7,861.25
Overnight high7,853.75
Overnight low7,817
Prior week high7,810.25
Prior week low7,672.75
Recent high7,897.5
Recent low7,575
Value area reference7,860.25
Value area high7,866.25
Value area low7,842.25
Top long setup
Momentum/breakout , be patient (a "wait for it to come to you" day).
🥇 ⭐ 7,826.75 (A+) → flush + reclaim, long the failed breakdown
🥈 7,815.75 (detected shelf)
🥉 7,758.25 (major shelf ★) , deeper backup
Targets: 7,888, 7,925, 8,000
Shallow dips are chases , no trade unless price flushes a level and reclaims.
Invalidation: below 7,802.75 the long is off , breakdown-short territory (size down, most breakdowns trap).
Top short setup
Rejection shorts , NOT the edge in a momentum uptrend (the plan is to pass), but listed for those who want them:
🥇 7,861.25 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥈 7,877 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥉 7,888 → reject + fail, small scalp
Scalps only, size down , never a reversal.
Stored session result
First target7,861.25: Reached
Failed-breakdown setup7,758.25: Not reclaimed
NQ plan for October 12, 2026
Biasneutral
Bias reasoning
Neutral , balanced around the 31,094.5 Pivot. No edge until price flushes a low and reclaims it (failed breakdown). Manage level-to-level.
Pivot31,094.5
Value Zone31,006 to 31,182.75
Support levels
Support 131,361
Support 231,200.5
Support 331,143
Support 430,965
Support 530,892.5
Support 630,792
Support 730,724.75
Support 830,512.25
Support 930,202.25
Support 1029,659.25
Support 1129,118
Support 1229,053
Resistance levels
Resistance 131,600
Resistance 231,482
Resistance 331,411.25
Resistance 431,369.75
Resistance 531,305
Resistance 631,253.25
Resistance 731,200
Resistance 831,151.5
Resistance 931,112.25
Resistance 1030,949.75
Resistance 1130,759.25
Resistance 1229,792.25
Resistance 1329,549.75
Prior high31,180
Prior low30,991
Prior close31,112.25
Overnight high31,266.5
Overnight low30,953
Prior week high31,282.5
Prior week low30,356.75
Recent high31,616.5
Recent low29,053
Value area reference31,088.5
Value area high31,121.75
Value area low31,036.25
Top long setup
Failed-breakdown longs (best first):
🥇 30,965 (detected shelf): flush + reclaim → long toward 31,094.5, then 31,112.25
🥈 30,892.5 (detected shelf): deeper backup if the first fails
🥉 30,724.75 (major shelf ★): deeper, take it if it reaches
Entry rule: wait for acceptance , price holds back above the level, or reclaims by ~5 pts and holds a couple minutes (don't knife-catch). Then manage level-to-level and leave a runner.
Top short setup
Rejection shorts (secondary, lower win-rate , best first):
🥇 31,151.5 (major shelf ★): reject + fail to hold → short toward 31,094.5
🥈 31,253.25 (detected shelf): next resistance up
🥉 31,305 (detected shelf): higher, take it if it reaches
Continuation: breakdown of 30,965 that holds below → 30,905.5. Wait for acceptance the same way; size down , most breakdowns trap.
Stored session result
First target31,112.25: Not reached
Failed-breakdown setup30,724.75: Not reclaimed
Educational content only, not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.