ES plan for October 14, 2026
Biasbullish
Bias reasoning
Bullish / momentum , price broke out and is consolidating up here. Be patient: the edge is a failed-breakdown long, best into the A+ shelf at 7,840.5; ride a runner, manage level-to-level, and don't force trades if price just grinds. Below 7,817 the long is off.
Pivot7,851.25
Value Zone7,836.5 to 7,866.25
Support levels
Support 17,858
Support 27,840.5
Support 37,826.75
Support 47,817
Support 57,802.75
Support 67,783
Support 77,758.25
Support 87,749
Support 97,737
Support 107,719.5
Support 117,672.75
Support 127,575
Resistance levels
Resistance 18,100
Resistance 28,075
Resistance 38,050
Resistance 48,025
Resistance 58,000
Resistance 67,975
Resistance 77,950
Resistance 87,925
Resistance 97,900
Resistance 107,875
Resistance 117,863.25
Resistance 127,850
Resistance 137,837.25
Resistance 147,810.25
Resistance 157,782
Resistance 167,767.75
Resistance 177,748.75
Resistance 187,699
Prior high7,863.25
Prior low7,834.5
Prior close7,856.25
Overnight high7,864
Overnight low7,836
Prior week high7,897.5
Prior week low7,778.25
Recent high7,897.5
Recent low7,575
Value area reference7,847
Value area high7,856.75
Value area low7,844
Top long setup
Momentum/breakout , be patient (a "wait for it to come to you" day).
🥇 ⭐ 7,840.5 (A+) → flush + reclaim, long the failed breakdown
🥈 7,826.75 (detected shelf)
🥉 7,758.25 (major shelf ★) , deeper backup
Targets: 7,900, 7,925, 8,000
Shallow dips are chases , no trade unless price flushes a level and reclaims.
Invalidation: below 7,817 the long is off , breakdown-short territory (size down, most breakdowns trap).
Top short setup
Rejection shorts , NOT the edge in a momentum uptrend (the plan is to pass), but listed for those who want them:
🥇 7,863.25 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥈 7,875 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥉 7,900 → reject + fail, small scalp
Scalps only, size down , never a reversal.
Stored session result
First target7,863.25: Not reached
Failed-breakdown setup7,758.25: Reclaimed
NQ plan for October 14, 2026
Biasneutral
Bias reasoning
Neutral , balanced around the 30,731.75 Pivot. No edge until price flushes a low and reclaims it (failed breakdown). Manage level-to-level.
Pivot30,731.75
Value Zone30,645.25 to 30,818
Support levels
Support 131,156.25
Support 231,087.5
Support 330,892.5
Support 430,792
Support 530,724.75
Support 630,635.5
Support 730,591.25
Support 830,512.25
Support 930,400
Support 1030,300
Support 1130,202.25
Support 1229,659.25
Support 1329,118
Support 1429,053
Resistance levels
Resistance 131,411.25
Resistance 231,369.75
Resistance 331,305
Resistance 431,253.25
Resistance 531,200
Resistance 631,151.5
Resistance 731,089
Resistance 831,013
Resistance 930,949.75
Resistance 1030,906
Resistance 1130,814.75
Resistance 1230,759.25
Resistance 1329,549.75
Prior high30,814.75
Prior low30,591.25
Prior close30,789
Overnight high30,906
Overnight low30,604.75
Prior week high31,616.5
Prior week low30,792
Recent high31,616.5
Recent low29,053
Value area reference30,742.5
Value area high30,786.5
Value area low30,698.5
Top long setup
Failed-breakdown longs (best first):
🥇 30,635.5 (detected shelf): flush + reclaim → long toward 30,731.75, then 30,759.25
🥈 30,591.25 (detected shelf): deeper backup if the first fails
🥉 30,512.25 (major shelf ★): deeper, take it if it reaches
Entry rule: wait for acceptance , price holds back above the level, or reclaims by ~5 pts and holds a couple minutes (don't knife-catch). Then manage level-to-level and leave a runner.
Top short setup
Rejection shorts (secondary, lower win-rate , best first):
🥇 30,814.75 (major shelf ★): reject + fail to hold → short toward 30,731.75
🥈 30,906 (detected shelf): next resistance up
🥉 30,949.75 (major shelf ★): higher, take it if it reaches
Continuation: breakdown of 30,635.5 that holds below → 30,591.25. Wait for acceptance the same way; size down , most breakdowns trap.
Stored session result
First target30,759.25: Not reached
Failed-breakdown setup30,724.75: Not reclaimed
Educational content only, not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.