ES plan for September 25, 2026
Biasneutral
Bias reasoning
Neutral , balanced around the 7,758 Pivot. No edge until price flushes a low and reclaims it (failed breakdown). Manage level-to-level.
Pivot7,758
Value Zone7,741 to 7,775.25
Support levels
Support 17,810.5
Support 27,778
Support 37,758.25
Support 47,749.5
Support 57,737.75
Support 67,725.25
Support 77,707.25
Support 87,696.25
Support 97,685.5
Support 107,675
Support 117,650
Support 127,575
Resistance levels
Resistance 17,875
Resistance 27,850.75
Resistance 37,839.5
Resistance 47,826.25
Resistance 57,812.75
Resistance 67,800
Resistance 77,783.5
Resistance 87,773.5
Resistance 97,760
Resistance 107,748.5
Resistance 117,732.25
Resistance 127,722.75
Resistance 137,699
Prior high7,783.5
Prior low7,725.25
Prior close7,765.5
Overnight high7,779.25
Overnight low7,707.25
Prior week high7,719.75
Prior week low7,575
Recent high7,850.75
Recent low7,575
Value area reference7,765
Value area high7,778.5
Value area low7,745.5
Top long setup
Failed-breakdown longs (best first):
🥇 7,749.5 (detected shelf): flush + reclaim → long toward 7,758, then 7,760
🥈 7,737.75 (major shelf ★): deeper backup if the first fails
🥉 7,725.25 (detected shelf): deeper, take it if it reaches
Entry rule: wait for acceptance , price holds back above the level, or reclaims by ~5 pts and holds a couple minutes (don't knife-catch). Then manage level-to-level and leave a runner.
Top short setup
Rejection shorts (secondary, lower win-rate , best first):
🥇 7,773.5 (detected shelf): reject + fail to hold → short toward 7,758
🥈 7,783.5 (detected shelf): next resistance up
🥉 7,850.75 (major shelf ★): higher, take it if it reaches
Continuation: breakdown of 7,749.5 that holds below → 7,737.75. Wait for acceptance the same way; size down , most breakdowns trap.
Stored session result
First target7,760: Reached
Failed-breakdown setup7,737.75: Not reclaimed
NQ plan for September 25, 2026
Biasbullish
Bias reasoning
Bullish / momentum , price broke out and is consolidating up here. Be patient: the edge is a failed-breakdown long, best into the A+ shelf at 30,622; ride a runner, manage level-to-level, and don't force trades if price just grinds. Below 30,370 the long is off.
Pivot30,692.5
Value Zone30,594 to 30,791.25
Support levels
Support 130,745.5
Support 230,664.25
Support 330,622
Support 430,502.5
Support 530,370
Support 630,300
Support 730,202.25
Support 829,659.25
Support 929,464.25
Support 1029,395.75
Support 1129,118
Support 1229,053
Resistance levels
Resistance 131,700
Resistance 231,600
Resistance 331,500
Resistance 431,400
Resistance 531,300
Resistance 631,200
Resistance 731,100
Resistance 831,043.75
Resistance 931,013
Resistance 1030,899.25
Resistance 1130,827.5
Resistance 1230,757
Resistance 1330,716
Resistance 1430,632.5
Resistance 1530,109
Resistance 1629,858.75
Resistance 1729,792.25
Resistance 1829,716
Resistance 1929,549.75
Prior high30,827.5
Prior low30,493.25
Prior close30,757
Overnight high30,813
Overnight low30,370
Prior week high29,937.75
Prior week low29,053
Recent high31,065.5
Recent low29,053
Value area reference30,745
Value area high30,819.25
Value area low30,596.5
Top long setup
Momentum/breakout , be patient (a "wait for it to come to you" day).
🥇 ⭐ 30,622 (A+) → flush + reclaim, long the failed breakdown
🥈 30,502.5 (detected shelf)
🥉 30,202.25 (major shelf ★) , deeper backup
Targets: 30,899.25, 31,013, 31,300
Shallow dips are chases , no trade unless price flushes a level and reclaims.
Invalidation: below 30,370 the long is off , breakdown-short territory (size down, most breakdowns trap).
Top short setup
Rejection shorts , NOT the edge in a momentum uptrend (the plan is to pass), but listed for those who want them:
🥇 30,757 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥈 30,827.5 → reject + fail, small scalp
🥉 31,013 → reject + fail, small scalp
Scalps only, size down , never a reversal.
Stored session result
First target30,716: Reached
Failed-breakdown setup30,202.25: Not reclaimed
Educational content only, not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.